Population - May 2011
A twist on the chicken or the egg question: does poverty cause population growth or does population growth cause poverty? Seema looks at both arguments.
The United Nations published a press release early this month revising world population projections to reach 10 billion by 2100 with much of the projected increase to occur in high-fertility countries which comprise 39 countries in Africa, 2 in Asia, 6 in Oceania and 4 in Latin America, with the population of Africa expected to more than treble by 2100 (see below).
The burning question in the continuous struggle of how to manage population growth, government funding and foreign aid in the third world; does being poor make people have many children or does having many children make people poor?
As a 16 year old who relocated to India after a consecutive 14 years abroad, the idea of population growth management was hardly at the top of my list of concerns. Rather, I spent the first six months of my time in India being astounded by the sheer number of people everywhere.
It was not until I participated in a weekly after school program where Hindi speaking female students spoke about general hygiene and birth control to local slum women that I first really imagined the hardships so many have to face every day. As I explained different methods of birth control and where free health assistance was available, I found myself asking what I thought of as the most obvious question: why do you have so many children when you can’t afford to feed them? I suspect some of the slum women were far more concerned about the free hygiene products we would distribute at the end of each session rather than limiting the number of children they bore.
I asked the same question when living and visiting the Philippines where my father lived and worked for some twenty five years. In a country which is primarily catholic and termination of pregnancies is barely heard of, nor birth control readily available, I found myself with a completely different answer.
Nevertheless, the question remained somewhere in the back of my consciousness and today, some ten plus years on (I would rather not divulge my exact age) I have the opportunity to revisit the dilemma of my question.
I have found that there are two schools of thought in explaining the poverty and population growth phenomenon. Those who think population growth causes poverty advocate programs in family planning and education for example. Those who think poverty causes population growth favour direct economic aid, increased employment, capital investment etc. Both list a multitude of reasons for each argument, some which I consider are country or region specific such as religion. Thus I have highlighted a few common key factors, based on external research as well as personal experience from my days in India and the Philippines.
Extreme poverty and rapid population growth is most apparent in countries characterised by hunger, high fertility rates, high mortality rates, where citizens have limited access to adequate land, employment opportunities, education, health care, old age security and in some cases opportunities for women to work outside of home. Typically, the poorest are marginalised from society and have little representation or voice in public, making it even harder to escape poverty.
Poverty causes population growth (INDIA)
Without resources to secure their future, poor parents have many children as a security measure in the race for survival. High birth rates reflect people’s defensive reaction to poverty. Children can provide labour to supplement family income and for those parents who think that perhaps, one of their children might be the ‘lucky’ one to be educated and/or find a decent job in the city, that child’s income in most cases would provide for the entire family.
Bigger families can also carry more weight in the community affairs. Impoverished parents know that without children, there would be no one to care for them when they reach old age. Problems with hunger, malnutrition and disease typically afflict the poorest in a society. With limited access to basic health care, many children do not live to adulthood. The World Health Organisation (WHO) has shown that both the actual death and the fear of death of a child will increase the fertility of a couple, regardless of family income or family size (Murdoch, Poverty of Nations, 45.)
Population growth causes poverty (PHILIPPINES)
Population growth causes concern if resources are not available to cope with the additional people requiring public services, employment, housing and so on. Links between rapid population growth and poverty have been established in countries such as the Philippines where the budget is already stretched and where poverty is already high. Rapid population growth hinders development for two interrelated reasons. First, it reduces income per capita growth and thus savings, productive capacity and economic growth. Second, as population growth outpaces the capacity of industry to absorb new labour, urban employment and rural underemployment are compounded.
Some studies have shown that the larger the family size, the more likely it is to be poor. Research (Orbeta 2002) has shown that high fertility is associated with decreasing investments in human capital (health and education). Children in large families do not perform as well in school (if attending), have poorer health, lower survival probabilities, and are less developed physically. The problem is one of resource dilution, where each additional child means a smaller share of family resources.
So, we return to the original question; does poverty cause population growth or does population growth cause poverty? As someone who has lived in both India and the Philippines and clearly seen the manifestations of both schools of thought, I would say; does is have to be one or the other, can it not be both? Perhaps, I finally have a reason to return to university and complete a PhD?

